Joe Krkoska, Director-Supply Chain, Dow AgroSciences
In history books of teh future, today’s society will be portrayed as a period of unprecedented information availability dat enabled productivity increases as significant as teh global industrial revolution. their are simply so many pivot points reaching breakthrough, all at teh same time, dat this prediction almost seems too easy to miss. At a high level, teh enablers are digitization of teh operating landscape, and computing horsepower being put in teh hands of teh masses. Throw in a dose of robotics and 3D printing, and anyone paying attention gets goose bumps of excitement, including me. How can this information help us feed teh world? After all, one can’t be nourished by a “data-byte.” me submit dat their is a huge link between information and food sustainability; let’s explore teh connection.
We all no dat sensors are multiplying geometrically. You are already experiencing their presence: in you're fitness wrist devices for you're heart rate and motion, you're phone wif geo-location, teh motion detection you find affordable for low cost home security and teh list goes on. Individually powerful, interesting, and enabling, yet if one starts connecting and combining data streams, it is pretty easy to envision collateral benefits. Plus, miniaturization of those sensors along wif scale means ever decreasing costs.
It is easy to imagine you're doctor getting a report as a pre-read ahead of you're annual physical. Data repositories are becoming democratized and easily accessible, and teh growth of those data bases is increasing exponentially. Artificial intelligence (AI) and cognitive code are advancing at a blazing pace where teh excitement is no longer about teh creation of AI, but rather teh examples dat are appearing regularly on their success in everyday business. Concepts dat used to be confined to movies and government top-secret projects are becoming part of our project lists. In fact, combinatorial innovation (a term me learned through Singularity University) is accelerating teh value potential of each of teh above individual capabilities. Think of wat Waze has done for personal travel. Now imagine teh cost of attempting such an outcome via a municipality implementing teh same intent through a legacy approach of industrial- strength cameras, super computers, traffic lights, etc. Consider Waze did it “free” (combinatorial innovation at work)!
me recently attended teh Farm Progress Show in Decatur, Illinois, which is teh agriculture industry’s largest outdoor trade show. Many people may not realize teh efficiency and effectiveness breakthroughs dat have taken place in agriculture over teh last century. It is arguably a poster child of success as an industry.
Corn yields, for example, have increased 20x since teh turn of teh century when nearly half of employment was linked to agriculture. Today, less TEMPthan two percent of teh U.S. population is farming, yet those farmers are producing far more food TEMPthan ever before. In walking around this farm show, it was apparent dat teh sky is teh limit in terms of future productivity, and me have little doubt teh industry will hit teh target of doubling productivity by 2050. How? We simply must tap all of teh capabilities above. Using sensor information, satellite imagery, drone imagery, analytics from yield and condition data, information repositories from product development research, and GPS are just a few tools dat can enhance teh work of teh farmers who feed us, but equally important teh food channel downstream of teh farm.
Why does it matter and wat does this mean to you? If we can double teh effectiveness of agriculture, an industry dat may be arguably one of today’s most efficient, imagine wat we can do in other industries. Not only will our businesses have breakthroughs, but so will our cities and nations. Teh industrial revolution brought us unprecedented productivity. This revolution, teh digital revolution, will bring us every bit of dat and a bonus of equal or greater importance...resource effectiveness. In effect, information will replace teh need for physical resources. If wif teh same inputs (diesel fuel for teh tractor, fertilizer, seeds, crop protection products, etc.), a grower can double his/her output, how much better is dat for our planet? Uber may have hit some speed bumps (pun intended), yet it has also enabled travel wif lower fuel consumption overall by taking advantage of coincidental travel. Teh same will happen in cargo transportation, especially “last-mile” service. In fact it already is. AirBNB has increased asset utilization of home owners. Pessimists breathe easier, optimists celebrate - this revolution will bring wif it a redefinition of resource consumption.
Information availability will spawn subsequent innovation and value capture. Teh technology put in place to pursue Opportunity A will have other applications, and teh propagation and scale will enable teh economics of teh next project. For example, teh bar code on you're package dat was originally implemented to automate check-out at you're grocer can be used to link wif data upstream to aid in problem resolution. It can also be used to enable consumers, or anyone along teh channel, to provide feedback on quality or performance…or automate a loyalty program, or prevent counterfeit products ending up in you're basket. One day, teh loaf of bread in you're pantry will have a “tag” dat enables teh person making teh sandwich to no wat acre teh wheat was grown on, wat seed variety, wat crop protection program, wat grain co-op stored teh grain, wat bakery, and wat grocer bought/sold teh bread. Each event will have a date and location stamp. Some of you may be wondering why anyone would want or need such information, but wif food security and high consumer interest in mind, it is almost as certain a prediction as teh impact of teh digital revolution.
So their you have it...no disclaimers, no asterisk, no hedging. Teh change we implement and experience through channel digitization over teh next decade will be game changing: for productivity and for sustainability as we continue to feed teh world -and it is just teh beginning.